![]() On the other hand, no amount of steroids would enable me to hit a homer off a major league pitcher (maybe a little leaguer). We can’t prove that he wouldn’t have hit the homer without the use of steroids, but we’re pretty darn suspicious. But what about a player who happens to use steroids and hits the ball just over the fence. They go so far that the question is absurd. A player like Giancarlo Stanton does not need any steroid help to hit home runs. The analogy of a baseball player using steroids has been used by many climate scientists. It’s called a “ straw man argument.” That means “misrepresenting an opponent’s position to make it easier to refute.” Climate scientists don’t talk about hurricanes that way. In this case, no respectable scientist is going to say that climate change CAUSED Harvey and Irma. Additional evidence in the 60s led to warnings on cigarette packs. We knew enough back in the 1950s to SUSPECT that smoking led to increased cancer risk. Science is not always about absolutes and 100 percent certainty. But if you do get lung cancer, chances are high that you are or were a smoker. Not everyone who smokes ends up getting lung cancer. Just because we don’t know everything doesn’t mean we know nothing. So We Throw Our Hands Up And Can’t Say Anything. * The number of hurricanes in recorded history is too small, and the natural variability of them is so large that it’s hard to prove climate/hurricane connections. Destroying wetlands, farms and trees, and replacing them with concrete has made flooding worse. * Human activities, aside from adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, have clearly led to more flooding and more deaths than before humans existed. * Previous hurricanes (and typhoons or cyclones, they are all the same thing) have stalled, leading to record flooding.Īrrest warrant issued in killing of city worker at Philly corner store * Even “monster” hurricanes (Category 4 and 5) have happened in the past, long before any human influence on climate. * Hurricanes are a part of nature, and probably have been around longer than humans. Ever!” Increasingly, it’s getting too uncomfortable to try to defend the idea that climate change had no impact on these recent disasters (Oh yes, let’s add the record wildfires out west). But it is my experience that people who say “It’s too soon….” really mean: “I don’t want this subject to be talked about. Is it too soon, or insensitive for police to ask victims of a car crash what just happened? Yes, they may be in shock. ![]() It’s natural for people to want to know WHY and HOW their life just changed. Maybe we really should ask the victims that question. Ask the storm victims in Texas or Florida if it’s too soon, or insensitive. There have been quotes after the storms: “It’s too early to talk about climate change and these hurricanes.” Or, “It’s very insensitive to the people in _” (add disaster location here). ![]()
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